![](https://media.kbin.social/media/78/76/7876db17a87fd76b4678bef7d32001d2662a07027499382cad2090bf5b41b090.jpg)
![](https://beehaw.org/pictrs/image/c0e83ceb-b7e5-41b4-9b76-bfd152dd8d00.png)
Comparing current LLMs to the ENIAC is thought-provoking; I understand the eagerness to extrapolate in that direction. That being said, I don’t think it will be linear or even logarithmic in progress. The current state of computing and technological advancement has become:
- Initial introduction or release
- Major hype and influx of greed money. <- we are here
- Failure to live up to the hype, resulting in the tech becoming a punchline and gobs of money lost
- Renaissance of the tech as its true potential is eventually realized, which doesn’t match the original hype but ends up very useful
- Iteration and improvement with no clear “done” or “achieved” milestone, it just becomes part of society
https://kagi.com/search?q=the+intercept shows a nice wikipedia description:
https://i.imgur.com/OcVM3c3.png