So, in other words: which of your core beliefs do you think has the highest likelihood of being wrong? And by wrong, I don’t necessarily mean the exact opposite - just that the truth is significantly different from what you currently believe it to be.

  • hperrin@lemmy.ca
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    4 hours ago

    That climate change won’t wipe out humanity. I firmly believe we’ll survive, but it will be a massively devastating event, like 1/3 of the population will die. I think the equator will probably become uninhabitable, but more northern or southern land will become more like the equator. Maybe I’m wrong though, and we won’t survive. Maybe there’s a reason we don’t see any advanced space faring civilizations.

    • Fiction@lemm.ee
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      4 hours ago

      but the way you describe climate change makes it sound like it’s going to be a specific event on a specific day. it’s gonna be a slow boil that takes place over hundreds of years there’s gonna be lots of time to move populations. Huge migrations are gonna take place and all the while humans are gonna continue to reproduce. I don’t think you’re gonna see 30% of the human population wiped out. over the course that time the losses will be negligible due to the rate of births.

      • hperrin@lemmy.ca
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        3 hours ago

        I didn’t mean to make it sound instant, but I don’t think it’s going to take hundreds of years. I think it’s more on the order of decades. The deaths I’m talking about will come from things like floods, famines, hurricanes, heat waves, etc.

        • Fiction@lemm.ee
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          3 hours ago

          climate change has already started. It started 30+ years ago. We’ve seen the increase in hurricanes, the tornado alley expanded, increased conditions of drought etc… Yes, there may be specific incidents like the Atlantic currents stopping to function over the course of decades, but the full effect of climate change will be over the course of 300 to 1000 years.